Monday, 22 April 2013

This Is All It Takes

In light of a gratuitous comment posted by a friend, and an inquiry from another non-Addick as to what might need to happen for us to make the play-offs, here is a simple breakdown of the combination of results that would see us win promotion (I haven’t spent too much time on the exact scores required for each game, but you’ll get the drift).

Leicester 0 Watford 6
Blackburn 3 Palace 0
Cardiff 6 Bolton 0
Millwall 1 Forest 0 (much as I hate to predict it)
Middlebrough 0 Charlton 6

We end the weekend on 64 points, go above Forest (on goal difference) into eighth, behind Leicester (65), Bolton (66) and Palace (67).

Millwall 1 Palace 0 (can’t bring myself to go for more goals for them)

Final round:
Bolton 0 Blackpool 6 (Bolton finish on 66 points)
Forest 1 Leicester 0 (Forest finish on 67 points but behind us on goal difference, Leicester finish on 65)
Palace 0 Peterborough 6 (Palace finish on 67 points but behind us on goal difference)
Charlton 10 Bristol City 0 (we finish on 67 points, and in fifth place).

In the play-offs, we take on (and understandably beat) Brighton over the two legs. The other contest would see Watford (or conceivably Hull) up against Forest. On to Wembley to beat whichever one it proves to be.

What could be more simple? The more analytical website still puts our chances of promotion at 1.8%, but we know it’s (almost) a done deal.


Andy said...

What could be simpler!

Hopefully it bodes well for next season though. It is a shame our rich vein of form did not start a few games earlier in the season.

Hats off to Chris Powell. He has done very well with the lmodest funds available to him.

Hungry Ted said...

No question this will happen! I'm already planning my trip to Wembley. Come on you Addicks!

Stevie said...

Our fate looks sealed then, see you all in North London for the final!

Anonymous said...

Game on.
but, rather unfortunately, that means Milwall will stay up!

Blackheath Addicted said...

Ah, hadn't thought of that. An unfortunate side-effect, but if (sorry when) we're promoted we are at least in the division above them. And they must be due to get docked 10 points for something.

Anonymous said...

good answer.

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